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  • 新知分享參考:Notes from a call with Edward Ryan MD, Director of International Infectious Disease at Massachusetts General Hospital: 麻薩諸塞州綜合醫院國際傳染病主任愛德華•瑞恩電話訪談記錄。 1 Close to 100% of the positive cases in MA are Omicron. Delta is almost completely gone from New England. 麻薩諸塞州的檢測陽性病例中近100%為Omicron。Delta疫情在新英格蘭地區幾近消失。 2 This surge will peak sometime between 1/10 and 1/21 and then begin a quick downhill journey of two to four weeks. 這一波(疫情)將於1月10日-1月21日之間達到峰值,然後開始約2-4個星期的快速下行減弱期。 3 We will end up with a 20-50% positivity rate. 總體檢測陽性率將為20%-50%。 4 February will be clean up mode, March will begin to return to "normal". 從二月份開始進入清除期,三月份人們的生活將開始恢復「正常」。 5 Omicron lives in your nose and upper respiratory area which is what makes it so contagious. It isn't able to bond with your lungs like the other variants. Omicron主要感染的是人們的鼻腔和上呼吸道,這也是其容易傳播的原因。它不像其他變異病毒那樣侵襲肺部。 6 The increased hospitalizations should be taken with a grain of salt as most of them are secondary admissions (i.e. people coming in for surgery, broken bones, etc. who are tested for COVID) . 對於擴大住院治療的做法應持保留的態度,因為大多數新冠住院病例是繼發性的留院(如病人是來做骨折手術的而被發現新冠)。 7 We won't need a booster for omicron because they wouldn't be able to develop one before it's completely gone and we're all going to get it which will give us the immunity we need to get through it. 我們不需要專門針對Omicron的加強針,因為這樣的加強針不太可能在該病毒完全消失之前開發出來,我們大家都將會感染到該病毒,而感染此病毒後將使我們產生所需要的免疫來抵抗它。 8 COVID will join the 4 other coronaviruses we deal with that cause the common cold, upper respiratory infections, RSV, etc. It will become a pediatric disease mainly affecting young children with no immunity. 引發本次疫情的新冠病毒將加入我們已經面對的常引起普通感冒、上呼吸道感染、呼吸道合胞病毒的其他4種新冠病毒。它將成為一種兒科疾病,主要影響缺乏免疫力的年輕兒童。 9 40% of those infected will be asymptomatic。 40%的感染者為無症狀。 10 Rapid tests are 50-80% sensitive to those with symptoms, only 30-60% sensitive to those without symptoms. 快速檢測對於有症狀病人的敏感率為50%-80%,對於無症狀的患者的敏感率為30%-60%。 11 Contact tracing is worthless because we're all going to get it and there's no way we could keep up with it. 對密切接觸者的追蹤是毫無意義的,因為我們都將被感染而不可能追蹤每一病例。 12 We are fighting the last war with COVID and should be pivoting back to normal life, but society isn't quite ready for it yet. 我們在對新冠病毒進行回歸正常生活前的最後一戰,而社會似乎還未對此做好準備。 13 There is no need to stay home from work or to be a hermit unless you're immunocompromised or 85 or older, but he does recommend staying away from large gatherings for the next six weeks. 我們不需要呆在家裡不上班或過隱居的生活,除非你是免疫功能不全或年齡在85歲以上者,但建議在未來的六周內遠離大型群聚活動。 14 Spring/Summer will be really nice! 春夏二季將是美好的。 Overall a great presentation. Lot of good news. 總的來說這是一個很棒的報告,很多好消息。
    6 人回報1 則回應4 年前
  • 分享這篇文章很受用💪👏😉💐💒 比爾蓋茲分享對疫情的反思,非常中肯。 ----摘自網路文章 中文版: 英國《太陽報》 刊登了比爾蓋茨的公開信,這封信得到極大關注,得到很多人轉發,人們稱讚比爾蓋茨是真正的智者,並有人第一時間就把他的公開信翻譯成中文。編者讀了這封信和譯文,感到蓋茨的話語直至心靈,非常受教育。希望大家都能讀一讀他的信,看看新冠病毒給我們上了一堂什麼樣的課、又教會了我們什麼。下面是比爾蓋茨的信。 ********************** 我堅信發生的每一件事後面都有一個精神層面的目的,無論我們認為是好還是壞。 當我沉思時,我想與大家分享我的心得,新冠病毒究竟對我們做了些什麼。 1) 病毒提醒我們,人都是平等的,無論我們的文化、宗教、職業、經濟狀況,或是一個人有多麼出名。在病毒眼中我們都是平等的,也許我們也應該平等對待他人。如果你不相信我的話,那就去問湯姆•漢克斯。 2) 病毒提醒我們,我們的命運都是聯在一起的,影響一個人的事情同時也會影響另一個人。病毒也提醒我們,我們建立的虛假國境線毫無價值,因為病毒並不需要護照。病毒還提醒我們,雖然我們暫時受到壓迫,世界上還有人一生都受到壓迫。 3) 病毒提醒我們,健康多麼珍貴。而我們卻忽視健康,吃垃圾食品,喝被各種化學品污染的水,如果我們不照顧自己,我們當然就會生病。 4) 病毒提醒我們,生命苦短,什麼是我們應該做的最重要的事情,特別是那些已經生病的老年人。人生在世的目的不是買一卷卷的廁紙。 5) 病毒提醒我們,我們的社會已經變得物質至上,當我們遇到困難時,我們才想起我們的基本需求是食物、飲水和藥品,而不是並沒有什麼價值的奢侈品。 6) 病毒提醒我們,家庭是何等重要,但我們卻忽視了這一點。病毒強迫我們回到我們的房子裡,所以我們可以把房子建成家庭,並建立牢固的家庭紐帶。 7) 病毒提醒我們,我們真正的工作並不是我們打的那份工,我們固然需要打工,然而上帝創造我們的目的並不是讓我們打工。我們真正的工作是互相照顧、互相保護、互助互利。 8) 病毒提醒我們,我們不能妄自尊大。病毒還提醒我們,無論你覺得自己多偉大,也無論別人覺得你多麼偉大,一個小小的病毒就能讓整個世界停擺。 9) 病毒提醒我們,自由掌握在我們自己手中。我們可以選擇合作互助、分享、付出、互相支持,或者我們也可以選擇自私、囤積和自顧自。只有在困難的時候才能看出一個人的真面目。 10) 病毒提醒我們,我們既可以耐心,也可以恐慌。我們既可以理解這種情況在歷史上已經發生過多次,但最後都過去了,我們也可以恐慌,以為世界末日到了,結果傷害了我們自己。 11) 病毒提醒我們,疫情既是結束也是開始。我們現在可以反省和理解,從錯誤裡吸取教訓。疫情也可以是一個輪回的開始,而且還會繼續下去,直至我們吸取教訓為止。 12) 病毒提醒我們,我們的地球病了。病毒還提醒我們,我們必須看到森林消失的速度,也必須看到一卷卷廁紙從貨架上消失的速度。我們都病了,因為我們的家庭病了。 13) 病毒提醒我們,困難總會過去,然後就容易了。生活是週期性的,現在只是週期裡的一個階段。我們不必恐慌,疫情一定會過去。 14) 許多人認為新冠病毒的疫情是一場災難,但我覺得這是一次“偉大的糾錯”。 👍👍Read this very enlightening *Bill Gate's* views on the Covid19: What is the Corona/ Covid-19 Virus Really Teaching us? I’m a strong believer that there is a spiritual purpose behind everything that happens, whether that is what we perceive as being good or being bad. As I meditate upon this, I want to share with you what I feel the Corona/ Covid-19 virus is really doing to us: - It is reminding us that we are all equal, regardless of our culture, religion, occupation, financial situation or how famous we are. This disease treats us all equally, perhaps we should to. If you don’t believe me, just ask Tom Hanks. - It is reminding us that we are all connected and something that affects one person has an effect on another. It is reminding us that the false borders that we have put up have little value as this virus does not need a passport. It is reminding us, by oppressing us for a short time, of those in this world whose whole life is spent in oppression. - It is reminding us of how precious our health is and how we have moved to neglect it through eating nutrient poor manufactured food and drinking water that is contaminated with chemicals upon chemicals. If we don’t look after our health, we will, of course, get sick. - It is reminding us of the shortness of life and of what is most important for us to do, which is to help each other, especially those who are old or sick. Our purpose is not to buy toilet roll. - It is reminding us of how materialistic our society has become and how, when in times of difficulty, we remember that it’s the essentials that we need (food, water, medicine) as opposed to the luxuries that we sometimes unnecessarily give value to. - It is reminding us of how important our family and home life is and how much we have neglected this. It is forcing us back into our houses so we can rebuild them into our home and to strengthen our family unit. - It is reminding us that our true work is not our job, that is what we do, not what we were created to do. Our true work is to look after each other, to protect each other and to be of benefit to one another. - It is reminding us to keep our egos in check. It is reminding us that no matter how great we think we are or how great others think we are, a virus can bring our world to a standstill. - It is reminding us that the power of freewill is in our hands. We can choose to cooperate and help each other, to share, to give, to help and to support each other or we can choose to be selfish, to hoard, to look after only our self. Indeed, it is difficulties that bring out our true colors. - It is reminding us that we can be patient, or we can panic. We can either understand that this type of situation has happened many times before in history and will pass, or we can panic and see it as the end of the world and, consequently, cause ourselves more harm than good. - It is reminding us that this can either be an end or a new beginning. This can be a time of reflection and understanding, where we learn from our mistakes, or it can be the start of a cycle which will continue until we finally learn the lesson we are meant to. - It is reminding us that this Earth is sick. It is reminding us that we need to look at the rate of deforestation just as urgently as we look at the speed at which toilet rolls are disappearing off of shelves. We are sick because our home is sick. - It is reminding us that after every difficulty, there is always ease. Life is cyclical, and this is just a phase in this great cycle. We do not need to panic; this too shall pass. Whereas many see the Corona/ Covid-19 virus as a great disaster, I prefer to see it as a great corrector. It is sent to remind us of the important lessons that we seem to have forgotten and it is up to us if we will learn them or not. Bill Gates.
    3 人回報1 則回應4 年前