新知分享參考：Notes from a call with Edward Ryan MD, Director of International Infectious Disease at Massachusetts General Hospital:
麻薩諸塞州綜合醫院國際傳染病主任愛德華•瑞恩電話訪談記錄。
1 Close to 100% of the positive cases in MA are Omicron. Delta is almost completely gone from New England.
麻薩諸塞州的檢測陽性病例中近100%為Omicron。Delta疫情在新英格蘭地區幾近消失。
2 This surge will peak sometime between 1/10 and 1/21 and then begin a quick downhill journey of two to four weeks.
這一波（疫情）將於1月10日-1月21日之間達到峰值，然後開始約2-4個星期的快速下行減弱期。
3 We will end up with a 20-50% positivity rate.
總體檢測陽性率將為20%-50%。
4 February will be clean up mode, March will begin to return to "normal".
從二月份開始進入清除期，三月份人們的生活將開始恢復「正常」。
5 Omicron lives in your nose and upper respiratory area which is what makes it so contagious. It isn't able to bond with your lungs like the other variants.
Omicron主要感染的是人們的鼻腔和上呼吸道，這也是其容易傳播的原因。它不像其他變異病毒那樣侵襲肺部。
6 The increased hospitalizations should be taken with a grain of salt as most of them are secondary admissions (i.e. people coming in for surgery, broken bones, etc. who are tested for COVID) .
對於擴大住院治療的做法應持保留的態度，因為大多數新冠住院病例是繼發性的留院（如病人是來做骨折手術的而被發現新冠）。
7 We won't need a booster for omicron because they wouldn't be able to develop one before it's completely gone and we're all going to get it which will give us the immunity we need to get through it.
我們不需要專門針對Omicron的加強針，因為這樣的加強針不太可能在該病毒完全消失之前開發出來，我們大家都將會感染到該病毒，而感染此病毒後將使我們產生所需要的免疫來抵抗它。
8 COVID will join the 4 other coronaviruses we deal with that cause the common cold, upper respiratory infections, RSV, etc. It will become a pediatric disease mainly affecting young children with no immunity.
引發本次疫情的新冠病毒將加入我們已經面對的常引起普通感冒、上呼吸道感染、呼吸道合胞病毒的其他4種新冠病毒。它將成為一種兒科疾病，主要影響缺乏免疫力的年輕兒童。
9 40% of those infected will be asymptomatic。
40%的感染者為無症狀。
10 Rapid tests are 50-80% sensitive to those with symptoms, only 30-60% sensitive to those without symptoms.
快速檢測對於有症狀病人的敏感率為50%-80%，對於無症狀的患者的敏感率為30%-60%。
11 Contact tracing is worthless because we're all going to get it and there's no way we could keep up with it.
對密切接觸者的追蹤是毫無意義的，因為我們都將被感染而不可能追蹤每一病例。
12 We are fighting the last war with COVID and should be pivoting back to normal life, but society isn't quite ready for it yet.
我們在對新冠病毒進行回歸正常生活前的最後一戰，而社會似乎還未對此做好準備。
13 There is no need to stay home from work or to be a hermit unless you're immunocompromised or 85 or older, but he does recommend staying away from large gatherings for the next six weeks.
我們不需要呆在家裡不上班或過隱居的生活，除非你是免疫功能不全或年齡在85歲以上者，但建議在未來的六周內遠離大型群聚活動。
14 Spring/Summer will be really nice!
春夏二季將是美好的。
Overall a great presentation. Lot of good news.
總的來說這是一個很棒的報告，很多好消息。
6 人回報・1 則回應・4 年前