Oh, we like war. We like war. We're a war-like people. We like war because we're good at it. You know why we're good at it? Because we get a lot of practice. This country's only 200 years old and already we've had 10 major wars. We average a major war every 20 years in this country, so we're good at it. And it's a good thing we are. We're not very good at anything else anymore. Can't build a decent car. Can't make a TV set or a VCR. What the fuck? Got no steel industry left. Can't educate our young people. Can't get health care to our old people. But we can bomb the shit out of your country, all right? We can bomb the shit out of your country, all right? Especially if your country is full of brown people. Oh, we like that, don't we? That's our hobby. That's our new job in the world, bombing brown people. Iraq, Panama, Grenada, Libya. You've got some brown people in your country. Tell them to watch the fuck out. Or we'll goddamn bomb them. But when's the last white people you can remember that we bombed? Can you remember the last white? Can you remember any white people we've ever bombed? The Germans. Those are the only ones. And that's only because they were trying to cut in on our action. They wanted to dominate the world. Bullshit. That's our fucking job. Think of how we started. Think of that. This country was founded by a group of slave owners who told us all men are created equal. Oh yeah. All men. Except for Indians and niggers and women, right? Always like to use that authentic American language. This was a small group of unelected white male land-holding slave owners who also suggested their class be the only one allowed to vote. Now that is what's known as being stunningly and embarrassingly full of shit. I think Americans really show their ignorance when they say they want their politicians to be honest. What are these fucking cretins talking about? If honesty were suddenly introduced into American life, the whole system would collapse. No one would know what to do. Honesty would fuck this country up. And I think deep down Americans know that. That's why they elected and re-elected Bill Clinton. That's why. Because the American people like their bullshit right out front where they can get a good strong whiff of it. Clinton might be full of shit, but at least he lets you know it. Dole tried to hide it, didn't he? Dole kept saying, I'm a plain and honest man. Bullshit. People don't believe that. What did Clinton say? He said, hi folks, I'm completely full of shit, and how do you like that? And the people said, you know something, at least he's honest.

永遠不要在飛行中這樣做！！！ （以下是谷歌翻譯的，英文原文如下為朋友臉書分享的） ————- 如果您經常乘飛機旅行，請注意過於友好的健談座位鄰居。 年長的女士過來坐在我旁邊的飛機上。 她讓我幫她把包放在頭頂行李箱裡。 但是坐在對面的一位紳士很快就走了進來。 （我個子不高，頭頂行李箱是我不惜一切代價盡量避免的。 她立即​​坐下，開始了談話。 她很愉快，說得很好。 所以，我們在飛往迪拜的航班上一直在聊天。 突然，當飛行員宣布我們現在開始下降到 DXB 時，我的好朋友“出現”了胃痛。 我懷著一顆善良的心，按下了空姐的按鈕，空姐過來查明問題所在。 我告訴她我的同桌感覺不舒服。 而這位女士，她突然開始稱呼我為“我的女兒”。 空姐告訴我，除了給她一些止痛藥，等我們降落，他們什麼都做不了。 飛行員宣布我們在船上有醫療緊急情況，並建議我們所有人保持冷靜。 我的新朋友哭得像瘋了似的流著汗。 她拒絕放開我的手……每個人都以為我們認識對方。 因此，我們降落在 DXB，幫助將行李放在頭頂行李艙的同一位紳士取出了她的行李。 但當他拿走行李時，他建議我與這位女士保持距離，並向機組人員明確表示我們不是一起旅行。 他是天賜之物！ 所以確實，機組人員來問我是否有親戚關係，我斷然告訴他們我們是在飛機上認識的。 我根本不認識她。 所以，我們開始下飛機，當我說再見時，她一直求我提她的手提包。 我好傷心……但這位先生看著我的眼睛，用力地搖了搖頭。 他遞給我一張紙條，告訴我讓機組人員處理她。 所以，我下了飛機，讓我的“新朋友”等待輪椅，被機組人員處理，感到非常內疚。 當我們等待行李通過時，我聽到了這種騷動。 我的“新朋友”正在奔跑，試圖逃離機組人員，從輪椅上下來！ 她帶著手提包離開了空姐，帶著剩下的手提行李就往出口跑了！ 幸好機場警察比她快。 他們抓住了她，把她戴上手銬帶了回來。 這位女士開始呼喚我。 我的女兒……我的女兒！ 你怎麼能這樣對我......那是我趕上的時候。 她攜帶毒品，並試圖牽連我！ 幸運的是，幫她拿行李的那位先生上前告訴機場警察，我和她剛剛在飛機上相遇。 警察拿走了我的護照，並要求她透露我的全名，如果我們真的一起旅行的話。 靠著上帝的恩典，我什至沒有告訴她我的名字！ 我仍然被要求跟隨警察到一個小房間，在那裡我受到了廣泛的訊問。 我在哪裡遇到她？...我在哪裡登機...她在哪裡登機。 等等......我的行李被廣泛搜查並除塵以尋找指紋。 他們把她所有的行李都撣掉了，在她的行李或手提包上都沒有找到我的指紋！ 我被告知永遠不要在飛行中或在機場觸摸任何人的行李。 所以，從那天起，我不管你有多少行李，你自己來處理。 我什至不會給你推車來放你的行李！ 你的行李……你的問題……是我的政策。 如果你無法到達頭頂艙，而我是最近的人，請打電話給機組人員，因為我只會給你一個白眼，然後把目光移開！ ——— NEVER DO THIS IN A FLIGHT!!! If you travel by air a lot, beware of over friendly chatty seat Neighbour's. The older lady comes and sits next to me inside the plane. She asked me to help her put her bag in the overhead luggage compartment. But a gentleman sitting across quickly came through. (I am not very tall, and the overhead luggage compartment is something I try to avoid at all costs. Immediately she sits down she strikes up a conversation. She was very pleasant and well spoken. So, we chatted all through the flight to Dubai. Suddenly, when the pilot announced that we were now proceeding to begin our descent into DXB, my good friend 'developed' stomach pains. Me with my good heart, I pressed the steward's button, and the stewardess came to find out what the problem was. I told her my seat mate was not feeling well. And this lady, she suddenly began to address me as 'my daughter'. The stewardess told me that there was nothing they could do except give her some painkillers and wait until we landed. The pilot announced that we had a medical emergency on board and advised us all to stay calm. My new friend was crying and sweating like crazy. And she refused to let go of my hand... everyone assumed we knew each other. So, we landed at DXB and the same gentleman who helped put up her luggage in the overhead compartment removed her luggage. But as he removed the luggage, he advised me to distance myself from this lady and make it clear to the cabin crew that we were NOT travelling together. He was a godsend! So indeed, the cabin crew came and asked me if we were related, I categorically told them we had met on the plane. I didn't know her at all. So, we began to deplane and as I said goodbye, she kept begging me to carry her handbag. I was so torn... but the gentleman looked me in the eye and emphatically shook his head. He passed me a note telling me to let the cabin crew handle her. So, I exit the aircraft and leave my 'new friend' to wait for the wheelchair and be handled by the cabin crew feeling very guilty. As we waited for our luggage to come through, I hear this commotion. My 'new friend' was running, trying to escape the cabin crew, having gotten out of the wheelchair! She left the stewardess with her handbag and just ran towards the exit with the rest of her hand luggage! Luckily the airport police were faster than her. They got hold of her and brought her back in handcuffs. This lady starts calling out to me. my daughter... my daughter! how could you do this to me..... that's when I caught on. She was carrying drugs and she was trying to implicate me! Luckily for me, the gentleman who had helped her with her luggage came forward and told the airport police that me and her had just met on the plane. The police took my passport and asked her to reveal my full names if it was true we were travelling together. By God's grace, I had not even told her my first name! I was still asked to follow the police to a little room where I was questioned extensively. Where did I meet her?... where did I board... where did she board. Etc... And my luggage was extensively searched and dusted for fingerprints. They dusted all her luggage, and my fingerprints were not found anywhere on her luggage or on her handbag! I was let go with advice never ever to touch anyone's luggage either in flight or at the airport. So, from that day, I don't care how much luggage you have, you will deal with it yourself. I will not even offer you a trolley to put your luggage on! Your luggage... your problem.... is my policy. And if you can't reach the overhead compartment, and I am the nearest person, please call the cabin crew because all I will do is give you a blank stare and then look away!

不要以為官大、學問大？ 下面是漂亮國的政客嘴臉！ Tales of Washington DC Airport ticket agent 一名華府機場票務員的傳奇 A DC 'airport ticket agent' offers some examples of why the US is in so much trouble! I love this as the ticket agent actually names real names! 一名華府機場的票務員提供了一些為什麼美國現在有那麼多麻煩的例子。對於票務員能指名道姓，我愛死了！ 1. I had a New Hampshire Congresswoman (Carol Shea-Porter) ask for an aisle seat so that her hair wouldn't get messed up by being near the window. (On an airplane!) 新罕不什爾州的女眾議員波特要求要坐靠走道的位子，這樣她的頭髮才不會因為坐在窗邊而被吹亂（這是搭飛機耶！） 2. I got a call from a Kansas Congressman's (Moore) staffer (Howard Bauleke), who wanted to go to CapeTown. I started to explain the length of the flight and the passport information, and then he interrupted me with, ''I'm not trying to make you look stupid, but Cape Town is in Massachusetts.” Without trying to make him look stupid, I calmly explained, ''Cape Cod is in Massachusetts, Cape Town is in South Africa .'' 堪薩斯眾議員莫爾的幕僚鮑雷克要飛往開普頓，我跟他解釋飛行時間和護照的資訊。他打斷了我說「我不是想讓你聽上去笨笨的，開普頓是在麻薩諸塞州耶。」在不顯得是他很笨的情況下，我平靜的解釋說「鱈魚角在麻州，開普頓在南非。」 His response -- click.. 他的反應是~~喀哩，掛斷了電話。 3. A senior Vermont Congressman (Bernie Sanders) called, furious about a Florida package we did. I asked what was wrong with the vacation in Orlando. He said he was expecting an ocean-view room. I tried to explain that's not possible, since Orlando is in the middle of the state. 資深的維蒙州眾議員桑德斯打電話來，憤怒的問我們所辦理的他去佛羅里達渡假的事情。我問他他在奧蘭多的假期有什麼問題嗎？他說他要求的是一間能看到大海的房間。我解釋說奧蘭多位於佛羅里達州的中間，是不可能看到大海的。 He replied, 'Don't lie to me!, I looked on the map, and Florida is a very THIN state!!'' (OMG ) 他回答「別撒謊！我看了地圖了，佛羅里達是一個很狹長的州！」（我的天！） 4. I got a call from a lawmaker's wife (Landra Reid) who asked, ''Is it possible to see England from Canada?'' 眾議員雷得的太太打電話來問「可能不可能從加拿大看到英國？」 I said, ''No.'' She said, ''But they look so close on the map'' (OMG, again!) 我說「不可能」。 她說「但是地圖上很近啊！」（再一次，我的天哪！） 5. An aide for a cabinet member (Janet Napolitano) once called and asked if he could rent a car in Dallas. I pulled up the reservation and noticed he had only a 1-hour layover in Dallas. When I asked him why he wanted to rent a car, he said, ''I heard Dallas was a big airport, and we will need a car to drive between gates to save time.'' 一位內閣閣員拿波里他諾的幕僚打電話來問他能不能在達拉斯租一輛車？我查了一下他的訂位，發現他在達拉斯只轉機停留一個小時，於是問他為什麼要租輛車？他說「我聽說達拉斯機場很大，所以我要租輛車趕去下一個機門以節省時間。」 (Aghhhh) （啊......） 6. An Illinois Congresswoman (Jan Schakowsky) called last week. She needed to know how it was possible that her flight from Detroit left at 8:30 a.m, and got to Chicago at 8:33 a.m. 伊利諾州女眾議員上個禮拜打來電話，她要知道怎麼可能她上午八點半飛離底特律，八點三十三分就抵達芝加哥了？ I explained that Michigan was an hour ahead of Illinois , but she couldn't understand the concept of time zones. Finally, I told her the plane went fast, and she bought that. 我跟她解釋說密西根州比伊利諾州早一個小時，但她就是不懂「時區」是什麼。最後我告訴她飛機飛得很快，這一下她滿意了。 7. A NewYork lawmaker, (Jerrold Nadler) called and asked, ''Do airlines put your physical description on your bag so they know whose luggage belongs to whom?'' 紐約州議員納得勒打電話來問「航空公司把旅客的外型描述貼在行李上，好識別哪件行李是哪一個乘客的？」 I said, 'No, why do you ask?' 我說「不會呀，為什麼問這個問題？」 He replied, ''Well, when I checked in with the airline, they put a tag on my luggage that said (FAT), and I'm overweight. I think that's very rude!'' 他說「當我到機場櫃台報到的時候，他們在我的行李上貼了一張『肥』FAT，而我確實過重，我認為這太不禮貌了。」 After putting him on hold for a minute, while I looked into it. (I was dying laughing). I came back and explained the city code for Fresno , CA is (FAT - Fresno Air Terminal), and the airline was just putting a destination tag on his luggage.. 我讓他稍等一會兒，我查一下。（我快笑死了！）回頭我跟他解釋說加州佛雷斯諾機場的代碼就是FAT（肥），而航空公司貼在他行李上的是他的目的地的標籤。 8. A Senator John Kerry aide (Lindsay Ross) called to inquire about a trip package to Hawaii . 參議員凱利的幕僚詢問去夏威夷旅行的行程。 After going over all the cost info, she asked, ''Would it be cheaper to fly to California and then take the train to Hawaii ?'' 到說到價錢的時候，她問「飛到加州，然後搭火車去夏威夷，會不會比較便宜？」 （夏威夷在海上，搭火車？） 9. I just got off the phone with a freshman Congressman, Bobby Bright from Ala. who asked, ''How do I know which plane to get on?'' 我剛剛放下一個選自阿拉斯加州的國會新進眾議員布萊特，他問「我怎麼知道我該搭上哪班飛機？」 I asked him what exactly he meant, to which he replied, ''I was told my flight number is 823, but none of these planes have numbers on them.'' 我問他說的是什麼意思？他說「我的航班號碼是823，但是沒有任何一架飛機上噴有823號。」 10. Senator Dianne Feinstein called and said, ''I need to fly to Pepsi-Cola , Florida . Do I have to get on one of those little computer planes?'' I asked if she meant fly to Pensacola and fly on a commuter plane. 眾院議長范恩斯坦打電話問「我要飛到佛羅里達州的『百事可樂』市去，是不是要搭那些小小的飛機？」我問她是否要問飛往佛羅里達『潘西可拉』市，而且是搭往來上下班的飛機？ She said, ''Yeah, whatever, smarty!'' 她回答「對啦，不管你怎麼說啦，你個自作聰明的傢伙。」 11. Mary Landrieu, La Senator, called and had a question about the documents she needed in order to fly to China. 洛杉磯參議員藍度問一個她要飛往中國大陸需要什麼文件的問題。 After a lengthy discussion about passports, I reminded her that she needed a visa. 講了很久之後，我提醒她她要簽證(visa)。 "Oh, no I don't. I've been to China many times and never had to have one of those'' 她說「喔，不需要，我去過中國大陸很多次，從來不需要。」 I double checked and sure enough, her stay required a visa. 我再次查證後告訴她，她真的需要簽證。 When I told her this she said, ''Look, I've been to China four times and every time they have accepted my American Express!'' 她說「我去過中國大陸四次，他們那裡收我的『美國運通卡』！」（註：英文的簽證和維沙信用卡是同一個字） 12. A New Jersey Congressman (John Adler) called to make reservations, 'I want to go from Chicago to Rhino, NewYork.'' 紐澤西州眾議員艾德勒要訂機位，「我要從芝加哥到紐約州的『犀牛城』！」 I was at a loss for words. Finally, I said, ''Are you sure that's the name of the town?” 我一下子不知所措，最後我問「你確定那個地點的名字是這個？」 "Yes, what flights do you have?'' replied the man. 「對啦，你們有什麼班機？」 After some searching, I came back with, ''I'm sorry, sir, I've looked up every airport code in the country and can't find a rhino anywhere." 搜索了一會兒後，我回答他「對不起，我查了所有的機場代碼，沒有『犀牛城』的代碼。」 ''The man retorted, ''Oh, don't be silly! Everyone knows where it is. Check your map!'' 他憤怒的反駁「少笨了！大家都知道這個都市在哪裡，查一下你的地圖！」 So I scoured a map of the state of New York and finally offered, ''You don't mean Buffalo, do you?'' 我趕緊在紐約州的地圖上找，最後試著問他「你說的是不是『水牛城』？」 The reply? ''Whatever! I knew it was a big animal.'' 他的答案？「反正就是一個很大的動物的名字啦！」 Now you know why the Government is in the shape it's in! 現在大家知道為什麼我們的政府是這個德性了！ Could ANYONE be this DUMB? 有沒有人像他們這麼笨？ YES, THEY WALK AMONG US, ARE IN POLITICS, AND THEY CONTINUE TO BREED. 有！這些人就在我們之中，還就在政治圈裡，而且他們還繼續的繁衍！

CNN 對台積電董事長劉德音的專訪翻譯逐字稿 On GPS: Can China afford to attack Taiwan? Fareed Zakaria, GPS In a rare interview with Mark Liu, chairman of Taiwan's TSMC — Asia's most valuable company — Fareed asks about the ongoing tension between the self-governing island and Beijing. Source: CNN Fareed Zakaria: 如果中國攻打台灣，那會如何影響台灣，以及台灣的經濟? What would happen to Taiwan, and to the Taiwanese economy, if China were to invade? 劉德音: 噢，當然，戰場上沒有贏家；所有人都是輸家。台灣人已在台灣建立起自己的民主系統，然後他們想過自己的生活。雖然半導體產業對台灣整體經濟來說十分重要，但如果真的發生戰爭的話，那或許半導體業不是最需要我們擔心的事。我們真正需要擔心的是這場戰爭將會摧毀以具有穩定秩序的世界經貿活動(the destruction of the world rule-based order)；整個地理政治將會有劇烈的變化。 Oh, of course, the war brings no winners. Everybody is losers. And people in Taiwan has earned their democratic system in Taiwan, and they want to choose their way of life. And we think that indeed the chip supply is a critical business and economy in Taiwan, but had it -- had it been a War in Taiwan, probably the chip is not the most important thing we should worry about because this invasion, if it comes after, is the destruction of the world rule-based order. There is no -- the geopolitical landscape would totally change. Fareed Zakaria: 你會擔心台灣目前在中國半導體供應鏈上所扮演的核心角色嗎? 這會對台灣造成甚麼危險嗎? 還是說其實有戰略上的嚇阻效果? 畢竟有時大家會說台積電是台灣的護國神山。不過即便如此，我們還是知道中國一直都強調「我們對台灣有絕對的主權，而且這是我們不可退讓的中國資產」。 Do you worry that Taiwan is now so integral to the Chinese supply chain at the high end?.. Does that create a danger for Taiwan? Or is it a deterrent? People sometimes talk about the TSMC shield, but you could equally see Beijing saying we need to have total control of this. This is the most valuable asset and it's outside our borders. 劉德音: 嗯，沒有國家能夠用武力控制台積電的，因為如果中國解放軍真的入侵台積電，台積電就完全不能運作了，因為這是一個十分複雜的龐大組織。台積電從原料、化學物質、設備零件、工程軟體與檢測等各面向都隨時都需要跟外面的世界，歐洲、日本、美國相互溝通合作。是在世界上的所有人的努力才能讓這間公司，台積電，能夠正常運作。所以假如你用武力侵占了台積電，那台積電就不可能正常運作了，也就沒有所謂的台積電了。至於我們與中國的生意，目前中國大概占了我們 10% 的生意吧，但我們只會跟一般企業與消費者做生意，我們不會將晶片賣給軍事組織。我們覺得說，消費市場是很重要的，而且是生生不息的。如果消費者有需求，那我想，跟他們做生意並不是甚麼壞事。 Ok. Nobody can control TSMC by force. If you take a military force or invasion, you will render TSMC factory not operable because this is such a sophisticated manufacturing facility. It depends on the real-time connection with the outside world, with Europe, with Japan, with the US, from materials, to chemicals, to spare parts, to engineering software, diagnosis. It's everybody's effort to make this factory operable. So if you take it over by force, you can no longer make it operable. In terms of the China business, its today composed about 10% of our business. We only work with consumer. We don't work with militaries entity. We think that is, the consumer pool, is important, and it is vibrant. And if they need us, it's not a bad thing. Fareed Zakaria: 解釋一下，為什麼這(台積電跟中國做生意)不是壞事? Expand on that. Why is it not a bad thing? 劉德音: 噢，這是因為我們停止運作後將會為中國帶來巨大的經濟損失，因為他們最先進的半導體晶片突然就這樣消失了，所以他們在做這種"武力犯台"之前，我想必定會三思而後行的。 你看烏克蘭戰爭，我想我們都得從中好好反省與汲取些經驗。人們認為烏克蘭跟台灣非常像，但我得說台灣跟烏克蘭非常不一樣。想想烏俄戰爭對各國帶來的種種負面影響，對任何國家來說都不是好事。從西方世界、俄羅斯與烏克蘭的角度來看，都是輸家，沒有人從中獲得好處。我真的認為大家都應該要好好反省這場戰爭究竟為我們人類帶來了甚麼，想想我們應該要如何避免戰爭，想想我們該如何確保全球經濟的穩定，如何讓全球經濟能持續生生不息，而且也讓我們以公平的方式相互競爭，這是我的想法。 Oh, because our interruption will create great economic turmoil in either side in China because suddenly their most advanced components supply disappeared. And -- and it is an interruption, I must say. So people will think twice on this. I think the Ukraine war, I think we should draw lessons from it. People think Ukraine will make connected with the Taiwan Strait. They are very different. But in case you think about imperil, Ukraine war is not good for any of the sides. From the Western world, from Russia, from Ukraine, it's lose, lose, lose scenarios. All three sides ought to draw lessons. I think they do. And we should use that lessons to look at the lens on Taiwan. How can we avoid a war? How can we ensure no -- the world economy -- the engine of the world economy continue humming and let's have a fair competition. That's what I think. Fareed Zakaria: 就你看來，你會怎麼解釋台灣的經濟奇蹟? 在過去五十年裡，台灣經濟成功達到每年有 5% 的經濟成長。世上很少能夠有著像台灣經濟成長幅度這樣的國家，你怎麼看呢? From your perspective, what explains the Taiwan miracle? This is now a place that has grown at 5% a year for five decades. There are very few places in the world that have managed that. What explains the Taiwan miracle? 劉德音: 從外人的角度來看，會覺得這是一個奇蹟。但對認真工作的台灣人來說，這只是奮鬥的過程。老實說我覺得，相較於其他國家，尤其是在亞洲，我覺得台灣其中一個特點在於它那和平的社會。從 1949 年到現在，台灣一直都是相當和平的。這是個和平的地方。而在這期間，台灣從威權主義社會轉型成民主國家，變成一個民主社會。而如果你從整個世界的角度來看這點，如此這般和平的社會轉型是相當神奇的事情，我們是非常幸運的。而如果真要說奇蹟，我想台灣的確還有一點是相當與眾不同的，那就是我們的教育制度。 在我還小的時候，只有 10% 的人上大學。如今有 80% 的年輕人擁有大學文憑。我們政府設立了非常多間大學，所以對於所有年輕人來說，如果你想讀大學，那一定可以讀，只要你願意花時間，所以這建立了一個相對高品質的社會環境，以面對未來可能的種種挑戰，這是我覺得非常非常特別的一點。 Looking from outside, it appears to be a miracle. For the people working hard on the island, it is just a history of fighting. I think, to be honest, compared with other nations, particularly in Asia, I think one of the key components in Taiwan is a peaceful society. It maintained peace since 1949 till today, 70 years. It's a peaceful island. And during that period of time, Taiwan has transformed from authoritarian state into a democratic state, became a democratic society. This is marvelous because if you look at the nations around the world, having such a smooth transition, peaceful transition, we are fortunate, to be honest. But if you talk about the miracles, I also think there's one thing that is very distinctly different, is the education system. When I was young, only 10% of the young people entered college or universities. Today, 80% of the young people have college or university degrees. The government set up many colleges, universities. And every kid, if you want to go to university, you can go, and just so long as you spend time. So that has created a relatively good quality of population in Taiwan, posing for any change ahead. That's why I think that's very, very special. Fareed Zakaria: 為什麼其他人都很難做出你做的晶片呢? 我現在在想的是你們的七奈米，美國有非常多擁有輝煌歷史的偉大公司，像是 Intel。而中國則是撒了數十億的資金去開設晶圓廠，但都沒有人能做出你們的晶片。 Why is it so difficult for anyone to make the chips that you make? And I'm thinking now about the 7 nanometer. The Americans have these great companies that have huge history, like Intel. The Chinese pour tens of billions of dollars into new companies. But no one can make the chips you make. 劉德音: 嗯，可以啊，只是晚幾年而已，就...哈哈哈哈... Well, they can, just a few years later. It's ... hahaha ... Fareed Zakaria: 但這就是重點啊... But that's all the difference in this business. 劉德音: 沒錯，這是唯一的關鍵。我想我們是把半導體技術本身看做是一門科學，但也是一門生意。這不是組裝零件那樣而已。當然，這一切都得歸功於我們與其他夥伴的合作。我們的工程師甚至因為 COVID 而戴上 AR (擴充虛擬實境) 跟遠在荷蘭以及加州的工程師合作，我們就是這麼密切的合作，共同推進最先進的半導體技術。我只能說這麼多了，沒辦法跟你透漏與解釋所有細節。 You're right. That's all the difference. I think we treat the semiconductor technology itself as a business, as a science. It's not assembly workers. And, of course, I credit this to be working with our partners. Even the COVID time, our engineer used the AR, augmented reality, lenses to work with engineer in Netherland, work with engineer in California. And that's how close we work together. And together, we push the frontier of the semiconductor technologies. I cannot tell you everything why. Fareed Zakaria: 哦當然你不可能跟我說可口可樂的配方的...哈哈...。好，最後一個問題，在技術與經濟層面上，你會怎麼看待未來? 你的願景是甚麼? You're not going to tell me the secret formula of coca cola. Finally, tell me what you think will look like in the future, technologically, economically. What are your hopes? 劉德音: 我希望我們不會因為很接近中國而被歧視(discriminated)。不論我們跟中國的關係是甚麼，台灣就是台灣。你得把台灣視為一個整體，視為一個充滿活力與衝勁的社會。我們希望能為世界帶來創新，並持續不斷地推進未來，而不會因為我們跟中國有些紛爭而害怕我們。這實在是不值得。 I hope that we don't get discriminated because we are close to China. No matter your relationship with China, Taiwan is Taiwan. You have to look at Taiwan as, by itself, a vibrant society. We want to unleash the innovation for the world, into the future, continuously, and not to be scared because we have some dispute with our neighbors. And that is not worth it. Fareed Zakaria: 這你這樣好像是在跟世界說 ── 如果我理解錯誤請糾正我 ── 不要害怕中國說的那些話。因為中國永遠不可能接手台灣。台灣經濟是建立於全球合作，建立於信任與公開透明之上。如果他們侵入台灣，他們會發現實際上他們甚麼也沒拿到。 But it seems to me you're saying to the world -- correct me if I'm wrong -- you're saying to the world, don't be scared by what China is saying because the Chinese will never be able to take. The Taiwanese economy is built on this global collaboration, -- on trust, on openness, on -- they'll find they've taken over nothing, if they come in. 劉德音: 正確，沒錯，我的確是這麼想的，所以我們大家只會為彼此帶來災難，每一方都是如此。雖然我們得做最壞打壞，但還是盡量往最好的方向看齊。 Correct, yes, I do believe so. So the world can only create problem on three sides, all three sides. And that is -- we need to prepare the worst, but we should hope for the best. Fareed Zakaria: 你剛有提到烏克蘭戰爭是 lose-lose-lose，所以你希望可以 win-win-win。 So you said about the Ukraine war, it's lose-lose-lose. Your hope is for a win-win-win. 劉德音: 對，如果真的開戰了，那就會變成這樣。如果一切和平，那麼就只跟我們三方的競爭策略有關，我想在商場上沒有人會想要發生戰爭，所以我們又為什麼要再跳進這個陷阱(戰爭)裡呢? Yes, if you have a war, then it will be that. If this is peaceful, well, it's upon the competition strategies on all three sides. And I think that nobody in the business world want to see a war happen. And why do we jump again into another trap? Fareed Zakaria: 感謝你寶貴的時間。 Thank you for taking so much time 劉德音: 很高興能參與訪談。 We enjoy talking to you. (zero game 2)(sun over mountain)(praying)

杭特拜登與中國華信集團CEFC合資的Sinohawk的執行長，Tony Bobulinski，今天(10/20)發表聲明，證明Joe Biden與Hunter Biden在中國的事業，#有關聯。 Tony Bobulinski過去曾在海軍服役，家族成員也有不少軍人。根據聲明，可能是作為軍人的榮譽感讓他決定踢爆拜登家族的醜事。(當然也可能是趁機自保的不自殺聲明) 以下是Tony Bobulinski的聲明全文及翻譯： My name is Tony Bobulinski. The facts set forth below are true and accurate; they are not any form of domestic or foreign disinformation. Any suggestion to the contrary is false and offensive. I am the recipient of the email published seven days ago by the New York Post which showed a copy to Hunter Biden and Rob Walker. That email is genuine. 我的名字是Tony Bobulinski，大家反覆討論的事實是真的，且準確的(杭特拜登在信中提及，部分的股份將保留給Big guy，也就是Joe Biden)，這些事實並不是國內或國外的假訊息。任何與前述事實相牴觸的暗示或明示，都是錯誤且冒犯的。我就是NY Post在7天前所公佈的信件的收件人，而信件副本是由杭特拜登及Rob walker所持有。 該封E-mail是真的。 This afternoon I received a request from the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Government Affairs and the Senate Committee on Finance requesting all documents relating to my business affairs with the Biden family as well as various foreign entities and individuals. I have extensive relevant records and communications and I intend to produce those items to both Committees in the immediate future. 今天中午，我收到參議院國土安全及政府事務委員會，以及，參議員經濟委員會的請求。要求我交出，所有我與拜登家族在事業上有關的文件，以及，其它與多個不同的外國企業或個人的任何資料。我有非常多相關的紀錄，且我將整理這些資料，儘快地交給參議院的兩個委員會。 I am the grandson of a 37 year Army Intelligence officer, the son of a 20+ year career Naval Officer and the brother of a 28 year career Naval Flight Officer. I myself served our country for 4 years and left the Navy as LT Bobulinski. I held a high level security clearance and was an instructor and then CTO for Naval Nuclear Power Training Command. I take great pride in the time my family and I served this country. I am also not a political person. What few campaign contributions I have made in my life were to Democrats. 我的祖父是37年的軍隊情報部軍官，我的父親是20年以上的海軍軍官，我的兄弟是28年的海軍飛行官。我自己在海軍服役了4年，並以中尉的身份離開。我曾被施以非常高層級的安全檢查，且是海軍核子動力訓練課程的指導員。我對於我及我的家庭，對這個國家的貢獻，感到驕傲。同時，我並不是一個政治人，我人生中少數參加且貢獻的幾場競選，都是民主黨。 If the media and big tech companies had done their jobs over the past several weeks I would be irrelevant in this story. Given my long standing service and devotion to this great country, I could no longer allow my family’s name to be associated or tied to Russian disinformation or implied lies and false narratives dominating the media right now. 如果媒體及那些科技大公司(臉書跟推特表示：)，在過去幾週做好他們的工作，我根本不會被牽扯進來。基於我對這個偉大國家長期的服務與貢獻，我不能忍受我的名字，與俄羅斯假資訊戰，或媒體上其它暗示這一切都是謊言或造假的報導，連結在一起。 After leaving the military I became an institutional investor investing extensively around the world and on every continent. I have traveled to over 50 countries. I believe, hands down, we live in the greatest country in the world. 離開軍隊以後，我成為機構投資者，廣泛地在全世界每個洲進行投資。我旅行過50幾個國家。我相信，我們住在這世界上最偉大的國家。 What I am outlining is fact. I know it is fact because I lived it. I am the CEO of Sinohawk Holdings which was a partnership between the Chinese operating through CEFC/Chairman Ye and the Biden family. I was brought into the company to be the CEO by James Gilliar and Hunter Biden. The reference to “the Big Guy” in the much publicized May 13, 2017 email is in fact a reference to Joe Biden. The other “JB” referenced in that email is Jim Biden, Joe’s brother. 我所說的每一句話都是事實，我知道是如此，因為我就生活在其中。我是Sinohawk Holding的執行長，Sinohawk是華信集團CEFC的總裁葉簡明與拜登家族合作的企業。我是由James Gillar以及杭特拜登找來當執行長的。由NY Post所揭露，在2017年5月13日所寄出的信件中，所指稱的"The Big Guy大人物"，指的就是Joe Biden。 "The Big Guy大人物"，指的就是Joe Biden "The Big Guy大人物"，指的就是Joe Biden "The Big Guy大人物"，指的就是Joe Biden 信中所提的另一個JB，指的是Joe Biden的兄弟，Jim Biden。 Hunter Biden called his dad ‘the Big Guy’ or ‘my Chairman,’ and frequently referenced asking him for his sign-off or advice on various potential deals that we were discussing. I’ve seen Vice President Biden saying he never talked to Hunter about his business. I’ve seen firsthand that that’s not true, because it wasn’t just Hunter’s business, they said they were putting the Biden family name and its legacy on the line. 杭特拜登稱他的父親"the Big Guy大人物"，或是“my Chairman董事長”，且常常針對我們所討論的潛在交易，請教Joe Biden要做或不做，或是建議。當我見到前副總統Joe Biden告訴大眾，「他從未與兒子杭特討論他的事業」。我要就我的第一手觀察告訴大家，那不是真的。因為那不只是杭特拜登的事業，他們總是說他們要將拜登家族的名字以及遺產，放在這裡。 I realized the Chinese were not really focused on a healthy financial ROI. They were looking at this as a political or influence investment. Once I realized that Hunter wanted to use the company as his personal piggy bank by just taking money out of it as soon as it came from the Chinese, I took steps to prevent that from happening. 我瞭解中國並不在乎健康財務的投資報酬率，中國只是將Sinohawk視為政治影響力的投資。當我認知到杭特拜登只是將Sinohawk當作他個人的小金庫，方便杭特拜登從中國提款，且越快越好，我採取了一些手段阻止這件事。 The Johnson Report connected some dots in a way that shocked me — it made me realize the Bidens had gone behind my back and gotten paid millions of dollars by the Chinese, even though they told me they hadn’t and wouldn’t do that to their partners. 當我讀到參議員強生(Ron Johnson)針對拜登家族在烏克蘭貪污的調查報告，連結了幾個證據，我感到驚訝！我認知到拜登在我背後偷偷拿錢，且中國付了幾百萬美金給拜登。即使拜登家族告訴我，他們並沒有這樣做，且也不會這樣對合作夥伴。 I would ask the Biden family to address the American people and outline the facts so I can go back to being irrelevant — and so I am not put in a position to have to answer those questions for them. 我希望要求拜登家族對美國大眾開誠佈公，且將事實攤在陽光底下。這樣我才可以回到與這件事無關的位置上，如此我才不會被迫被放在一個要幫拜登家族回答，本來應該是他們要回答問題的位置(指的是參議院委員會的調查)。 I don’t have a political ax to grind; I just saw behind the Biden curtain and I grew concerned with what I saw. The Biden family aggressively leveraged the Biden family name to make millions of dollars from foreign entities even though some were from communist controlled China. 我並沒有特定的政治傾向，我只是在拜登家族私下的運籌帷幄的幕後，看到一些會讓我憂慮的事。拜登家族非常積極地，用拜登家的名義去跟外國企業要錢，甚至，其中有部分的錢是來自於共產黨控制的中國。 God Bless America!!!! 天祐美國！！！ 聲明出處： https://nypost.com/2020/10/22/hunter-biz-partner-confirms-e-mail-details-joe-bidens-push-to-make-millions-from-china/

被『強酸強鹼』噴到或淋到時要如何處理？ 2013年11月份，台灣石油工會，第一分會月刊報導(高雄廠) 作者，許廷訓，台灣中油公司(Taiwan cpc petroleum )服務， 目前是兼任，高壓特定氣体訓練班(中油公司，對新進員工的基礎訓練)的助教。 在高壓氣体訓練班的課程，我問過將近100個，以上來自台灣中油，全國各單位的工作人員，你們如果被硫酸淋到時你要如何做，所有的人異口同聲說，要用大量的清水沖洗，80%以上的人都有大學以上的學歷，他們都這樣說，我當場告訴他們，如果是這樣的，你會死的很難看，這也是我認為該公開讓大家知道的原因，目前高雄廠，所有有強酸強鹼的地方，告示牌(物質安全資料表)，所有的說明都說，如被強酸強鹼淋到時要用大量的清水沖洗……..這種說法是正確嗎？如不正確為什麼幾十年來沒人質疑？在學校的化學實驗室老師，也是這樣告訴我們的？ 本人以前曾經被因銹蝕管線針孔洩漏的硫酸所噴到，當時的感覺是好像有一個火把靠近你的臉頰，很熱很熱，我當然了解是被硫酸所噴到，(只是當時必須離開現場，因為那裡洩漏，一時間，看不出來那洩漏的地點)，當時我所做的是，用未被硫酸所噴到的衣服擦拭被硫酸所噴到的臉頰，再去沖水，5-10分鐘，但是這跟沒有擦拭去沖水有什麼差別？ N年前高雄廠，曾發生運酸槽車在洩酸入TANK時槽車出口管線，因壓力爆開，當時有兩個人被噴到，但是事後一個沒事(槽車司機)另一個人住院植皮，每天哀哀叫，時間長達十個月，為什麼差這麼多，原因是事發當時，司機很鎮靜，立即脫光身上所有的衣褲，拿起事先準備好的清潔棉布，擦拭身上的硫酸，再去沖先，另一個本場的工作人員，則是驚慌失措一路叫喊《救命》，待有人發現，他被硫酸所噴到時，用水沖洗他身上的硫酸，這一洗，洗出大問題，當然不洗也是大問題，時間是毫秒計算，為什麼差這麼多？ 原因是硫酸的沸點為338℃，水的沸點只有100℃，水遇到硫酸時開始沸騰產生反應熱，硫酸可以迅速與蛋白質及脂肪發生醯胺水解作用及酯水解作用，從而分解生物組織，造成化學性燒傷。不過，其對肉體的強腐蝕性還與它的強烈脫水性有關，因為硫酸還會與生物組織中的碳水化合物發生脫水反應並釋出大量熱能。 除了造成化學燒傷，所以如有任何人遇到硫酸，正確的處理方式應該保持鎮靜，找出現場可以擦拭的棉布或其他可以擦拭的紙等(這是減量，減少附著在皮膚的硫酸)，立即擦拭再去沖水5-10分鐘。 最多只是如一級燒燙傷，這一事件後我遇到一個在大發工業區擔任某化學公司，槽車司機的X先生，我問他遇到時如何處理，他說就這麼處理，我問他為什麼不將這消息公告給社會大眾知道？他說了，幹，人家官大學問大，我只是一個司機，人家會聽我的意見嗎，我無言以對。 他舉出三個例子，來說明處理方式不同所造成的結果，第一例，在國道一號上發生遊覽車撞擊，鹽酸槽車事故，槽車破裂，遊覽車上的檔風玻璃也破了，鹽酸噴到司機的眼睛，隨車小姐立即以飲用瓶裝水沖洗司機的眼睛，結果是，後來司機的眼睛洗好了，司機的眼睛，也完蛋了，第二例發生在某加工區，槽車洩酸時，也發生因長時間使用後的物質脆化(當時忘了問他材質到底是塑膠的或橡膠的，約使用多久了)洩酸管線爆裂了，一個不知是好奇或無知的經理，靠近槽車很不幸的，那經理被噴到了，當然槽車司機處理經驗很豐富，立即脫光那經理身上所有的衣物幫他擦拭後再沖洗，入院十多天就回家，無大事，第三例，發生在該生產硫酸的公司內，兩個工作人員，被破裂管線的硫酸所噴到，一個如同第二例，司機幫忙處理，另一個，因一時間他無法幫忙，其他現場的人也驚嚇到，不敢也不懂，幫另一個被酸噴到的人脫衣服，而是直接用水幫他沖洗，結果，後果很慘痛，体無完膚，根據司機的說法，醫生所開的嗎啡給患者服用都無效，無法止痛，也是哀哀叫長達幾個月。 本文出來前，我所做的實驗，(戴有面罩的安全帽掛橡膠手套及護目鏡穿雨衣)去買已切好的豬皮20X10用鐵丁固定在木板上，用鹽酸做實驗，有擦拭和沒有擦過的實驗結果一目了然，所以被強酸鹼所噴到一定要先擦拭過再沖水，才是保命之道。 如果我們把濃硫酸慢慢地倒入水中，卻是安安靜靜的，水只是漸漸的變熱，而且不濺開來。當濃硫酸與水遇在一起，就發生化學反應，生成水合物，同時放出大量的熱，1公斤的濃硫酸與水化合時放出的熱量，足以使2公斤的冷水，一下子升高到攝氏100度。 濃硫酸看上去像油，可是卻比水重(1.9倍)，比同體積的水差不多要重上一倍，很明顯，如果把水倒進濃硫酸，水就浮在濃硫酸上，當發生化學反應時，水就猛烈地沸騰起來，四處飛濺。 如果反過來把濃硫酸倒進水裡，情況就不一樣了，濃硫酸比水重，把濃硫酸慢慢地倒進水中，它就逐漸地沉到水底，然後再分佈到溶液的各個部分，這樣，反映所產生的熱量被均勻地分配到整個溶液，溫度慢慢上升，不會使水迅速地騰起來。 本人在此真誠的建議，各級學校的實驗室或化學系所，各公司有用到強酸鹼的地方，應立即修改告示牌(物質安全資料表，有強酸鹼的地方，應準備棉布做擦拭用，不要用化學纖維布，大林廠有硫酸法的烷化(以硫酸為催化劑的製程)工場，更應該準備好，因為10年20年後所有的管線，除非全面更新，絕對會這裡漏，那裡漏。 備註，本文部份，參考維基百科及網路文章，感謝工安課，王錦波先生與第七硫磺總領班，楊耀昆先生對本文的校正。 ，也歡迎老師，本人在此授權，請賢人翻譯成英日文，給世界各國的朋友分享，請將公司的CPC排在前頭，說明這是在台灣的CPC公司人員所做的實驗。 Nov. 2013, Monthly journal report of 1st branch of OIL LABOR UNION in Kaohsiung Taiwan CPC. By Mr. Hsu Ting XUN, serve in Taiwan CPC, now is the part time TA for the HIGH-PRESSURE SPECIFIC GAS training class, a class which trains all the new employees in CPC. In the HIGH PRESSURE training class, I ever asked more than 100 members from all different departments and branches of CPC TAIWAN., “If you were sprayed or poured by sulfuric acid, what would you do!?” The answer is 100% in unison “Rinse with great amount of water!” You know, 80% of these members graduated from universities. They all did say so. Hearing the answer, I on the spot told them “If you did so, you were destined to die ugly”This is why I insist to make it public. Nowadays in Kaohsiung plant, all where there is sulfuric acid or alkali, as well as all the bulletin boards [material safety sheets]shows: “Rinse with great amount of water while sprayed by sulfuric acid” But is this statement appropriate and accurate!?If not, why for decades nobody doubted!? And we were all taught so by chemistry teachers in labs of schools? Before, I ever sprayed by sulfuric acid leaking from the needle hole of a corrosivepipe. I felt like a burning torch accessing my face. It’s extremely hot. I surely realizedit wassulfuric acid, but I couldn’t spot where the leaking hole was. I had to leave right at that moment. The step took first was to wipe my sprayed face with the clean part of my clothes then, rinsedit with water for 5-10 minutes. But on earth, what makes the difference with the way you rinsedwithout wiping it clean first!? Years ago in Kaohsiung plant, a sulfuric acid transporting truck’s exporting pipeline burst because of pressure while vented sulfuric acid into the tank. Two men were sprayed. Yet later on, one man [the driver] was not serious, while another one had to be hospitalized andgrafted, leading a crying miserable life for ten months. Why such a big contrast! The reason is right at thatmoment, the driver completely calmed himself down, ripped all his dressing off then, wipedsulfuric acid with the clean cotton that he used to prepare ahead, then rinsedwith water the last. As to the other man, he was crying and screaming in panic all the way till someone found him and helpedrinse with great amount of water. Here the key problem is: Water or NOT WATER firstdefinitely matter a lot! It was so urgent, what made such a big difference? You know the boiling point of sulfuric acid is 338centigrade degree while water only 100. When water meetssulfuric, water begins to boil and produce heatas reaction. Sulfuric acid, along with protein and fat, rapidly facilitates[R-C-NH2] hydrolysisandEster hydrolysis, further todecompose bio- tissue, causing the chemical burns. Its strong corrosion to body dorelate toits strong dehydration.Sulfuric acid can cause dehydration reaction when it meets the carbohydrate of bio-tissue then, release great amount of heat to causechemical burns. So for anybody sprayed by sulfuric acid, the accurate approach is to calm down,immediatelywipe off acid with clean cotton or paper available [this is to minify or reduce the sulfuric acid on skin] ,then rinse 5-10 minutes. The worst resultcan only be one grade burn. Afterwards, I met Mr. X, a tank driver who served in a chemistry company in DAFA INDUSTRIALZONE. I asked what he would do if he met same situation. The answer was completely the same approach. Then why he didn’t make it public? His answer was“I am just a driver, can any high ranking officer listen to my opinion!?” I was totally speechless. He gave three examples to illustrate three different results caused by the diverse handling procedure:[a]. One tour bus bumped into sulfuric acid- loading truck on the ZHONGSHAN national freeway. The tank broke down. So did the window shield of the tour bus. Acid sprayed onto the bus driver’s eyes. The lady tour guide spontaneouslyrinsed his eyes with bottle water. The eyes were washed, but ruined.[b].This accident happened in THE PROCESSING ZONE. When an acid tank vented, the venting pipeline burst [pipelinebeing brittle after long use.][Material of pipe is plastic or rubber, or how long it has been used not known]. An either curious or ignorant manager walked close to the tank and unfortunately he was sprayed. Thanks to the well experienced tank driver, he immediately ripped off all the manager’s dressing, wiped his body clean, thenrinsed with water. About 10 days in hospital, he returned home without big problem. [c].In a sulfuric acid producing company, two workers sprayed by the broken pipeline. One was managed under accurate approach, yet another one was not so lucky. He, with the help of the stunned people around, directly rinsed the body. What’s the result!? Miserable and severely!! He kept hospitalized for long,even the morphine prescribed by doctor couldn’tkill his pain, recalled the poor worker. Before this article came public, I did an experiment [wearinghelmet with mask, rubber gloves, goggle and raincoat].I bought some chopped pigskin 20x10,nailedthemontowood . After pouring acid, I observed the wipedand not wiped pigskin, and the result was obvious at aglance. So if sprayed by acid or alkali, wipe clean first, then rinse. This is the life-saving approach. If we pour thick sulfuric acid into water, quietly and gradually the water will be getting hot, and will not splash. When thick sulfuric acid mixes with water, chemical reaction happens, producing hydrate and at the same time releasing big amount of heat. The heat released by 1kg thick sulfuric acid hydrating with water can lead to a sudden rise of temperature of 2kg cold water to100 centigrade degree. Thick sulfuric acid looks like oil, but actually it is heavier than water by 1.9 times, and heavier 1 time than water of same volume. Obviously, if we pour water into thick sulfuric acid, water will float on the acid.Chemical reaction happens, water will violently be getting hot, and splash all over. ON the contrary, if we pour thick sulfuric acid into water, the effect differs. It is heavier than water, it will gradually sink into bottom and distribute in each part of liquid, so the reacting heat is distributed in the liquid in average. The temperature rises slowly and slowly, the water will not be getting hot rapidly andfuriously. Here, I sincerely suggest that all labs and chemistry departments in schools or all companies where sulfuric acid and alkali are used should amend all bulletin boards [material safety sheets]. Where there is sulfuric acid or alkali, cotton[no chemical fiber cloth] should be readily prepared. Especially, DALIN plant has the alkylation workplace of sulfuric acid [Sulfuric acid or hydrofluoric acid as a catalyst in processing]. It should have to be well prepared, because all the pipelines absolutely should be leaking where and there after 10 or 20 years, unless they are all updated. RE: parts of this article took wiki and internet for reference. Great thanks to Mr. Wang Jin-bo, industrial safety division, and Mr. Yang Yao- kun, the leading foremanof 7thsulfur, for their guidance and correction. Welcome friends all over the world translating it into kinds of languages to help those in need. And don’t hesitate to write me if necessary for more understanding and interpretation. Thanks!! Thanks sister melody translation

轉載： 朱敬一將波頓的回憶錄感想，寫得很好，要簡單了解川普，這個摘要不錯。要了解過去三年台美中關係，、11月大選後川普、拜登當選的可能方向，這是一個好的參考資料 朱敬一的書評 汩羅江畔寫心得 — 評論 Bolton 新書 “The Room Where It Happened: A White House Memoir" ************************ 美國前國家安全顧問 John Bolton 的新書 "The Room Where It Happened" 幾天前上市，實體與網路銷售皆大賣，據報導他的版稅收入大概至少有幾千萬元。該書還沒有中譯版，所以不知道中文書譯名為何。此書撰寫是「敍事序時體」，每一章按國安事件的主題切分，例如土耳其、委內瑞拉、中國等，然後就各個主題，再依事件時序記述其發展。這樣做實為不得不然；因為美國面對的平行事件太多，若同時處理，讀起來會昏倒。 寫書痛批川普，報復性居多 Bolton 在 2018-2019 年在白宮的職稱是 National Security Advisor (NSA)，相當於我們政府體制中的「國家安全會議秘書長」。他 2018 年 4 月上任，2019 年 9 月辭職，在職僅一年五個月。NSA 是白宮一級閣員，份量大概與美國國務卿不相上下。NSA 與國務卿都是負責涉外、國安事務，但是由於美國是世界強權，涉外及國安事務的份量幾乎是國內事務的一倍，故 NSA 的重要性幾乎是「左丞相」。 一年五個月任期看起來不長，但是以川普閣員更動速度觀之，Bolton 已經算是任期長的了 (讀者可以與柯文哲小內閣 PK 一下)。Bolton 應該是有做日記或是筆記的習慣，所以他的記載超級詳細。每一次重要會議的開始時間，可以細到「四點十五分」這種刻度，會議的重要出席人員也絕不遺漏。每一次對話誰說了什麼，也幾乎是「可以加引號」那麼精準。所以，我對於書中「記述」的真實性與正確性，幾乎不予置疑。至於偶爾有作者自己的評價，則讀者當然可以自行斟酌。 如果你問，Bolton 寫這本書的目的是什麼呢？我想一方面是賺錢 (幾千幾萬收入吔！)，但是也許更重要的，則是吐一口怨氣，紮實地狠搥川普一拳。你看完這本書就能了解，這一年五個月時間「君臣」之間累積了多少怨氣。最重要的是：老闆川普完全沒有令他尊敬之處，也不尊重閣員。孟子兩千年前的描述是「君視臣如土芥，則臣視君如寇讎」。此書讀起來，波頓已經是「必欲揭川普瘡疤而後快」，幾乎是指著鼻子駡。 閣員眾生相，一覽無遺 Bolton 在書裡記載了不少閣員同事，有褒有貶。被他貶抑的包括前國防部長瘋狗 Mattis、現任財政部長 Mnuchin、前駐聯合國大使 Nikki Haley，當然 B 氏駡最多的是川普本人。Bolton 在對話中認同的閣員則包括前白宮幕僚長 John Kelly、現任國務卿 Pompeo。其中，有許多次與川普開會之前之後的「會前交心」或「會後善後」或「如何應付老闆」的對話，都是 Bolton 與 Pompeo 的對談，所以這本書出版之後，我感覺 Pompeo 恐怕會被川普嫌，處境頗為艱難。 多說無益，且讓我將書裡精彩幾句話一一標出，讓沒有時間讀全文的朋友，了解 Bolton 的怨氣。 Bolton 在 50 頁明言，Mattis is our biggest problem。Bolton 說，Mattis 與幕僚在前置討論時從不表示意見，這樣才能在最後階段提出一個「別人沒有辦法仔細評估」的不同意見。如果真是如此，Mattis 這咖其實段數很差，而且玩不久。但是另外一種解讀是：如果國防部長 Mattis 的意見都是在Bolton 主持的會議中講了，Mattis 在川普面前就沒有表現了，而國防部則像是國家安全會議的下轄部會，我想 Mattis 不願意如此。所以，這裡的矛盾，是權力面的，未必是 Bolton 所述人格面的。 在 337 頁，Mnuchin 被 Bolton 形容為擁中 (熊貓) 派。川普說，此人 seemed more protective of US firms that were sleeping with our enemy than of accomplishing the mission we have." Mnuchin 的立場若此，Bolton 不說外界恐怕也不清楚。但是 Bolton 有一點批評我完全同意：美/中之間的衝突，是制度面的，包括中國政府的大量 (黨國不分) 補貼、強迫智慧財產移轉、偷竊營業秘密等。這些因素加起來，形諸於外，才是「貿易順差」等問題。所以，制度是關鍵，貿易只是表相。Mnuchin 老想達成「貿易談判」，拼命阻擋制度問題的討論，擔心那些討論妨礙了貿易談判，這根本是捨本逐末，混淆問題本質。 人權，值幾文錢？ 幕僚建議川普對天安門 30週年講話，川普拒絕 (286 頁）。他說：that was 15 years ago (他年代都搞錯，一表相差 15 年，不過不足為奇)，who cares about that? 所以天安門死多少人，沒有重要性？Bolton 在288 頁又記載，川普在電話上對習近平說，他可以在新疆建集中營。香港的動亂，川普也主動說，那是中國內政。這些，大概是全書最恐怖的內容。我們從媒體報導以為美國支持香港、譴責新疆隔離，但是 Bolton 說，那不是川普本意。台灣媒體報導了與台灣有關的內容，Bolton 在 286 頁說，川普已經放棄了敍利亞的庫德族，台灣會是下一個嗎？ 我想，事情的關鍵，不在於台灣是不是只有「筆尖」大小，不是庫德/敍利亞/台灣/香港/維吾爾之間權衡輕重的問題，而是川普本人的「價值觀」。B 氏批評 (120 頁)，川普沒有整體國際戰略，看問題只看零零散散的點 (archipelago of dots)。就川普而言，國際事務像是「一筆筆的不動產交易」。有些人用「生意人」描述川普，我覺得有點羞辱千千萬萬做生意的人。生意人其實也是有血有肉、有感情有關懷。我認為比較正確的描述是：川普錯誤地把國際政治與世界運作，視為一筆筆「買賣」。所謂「美國優先」，其實就只是看「美國年度損益表」。這，才是真正的麻煩。 正因為一切都只看「損益表」，所以 NATO 川普就只盯著 NATO 預算吵，一直要逼德國多出錢。德國是應該多承擔責任，但是不能把事情搞成「你們敢不出錢，我美國就退出 NATO。」難道 NATO 是個買賣？Bolton 在134-135 頁記載，川普要求歐洲諸國增加 NATO 經費，但是不順利，於是打算在 G7 會議時宣布美國退出 NATO。這麼天大的事，事前完全沒有與國安顧問及任何閣員討論，好像只是一件房地產交易的 counter offer，Bolton 失望也害怕，已經打算辭職了；那時他才上任三個月。幸好，G7 會議發言前幾分鐘，川普問 Bolton：Are we going to do it? Bolton 回答：Go up to the line, but don't cross it。川普後來沒有越線，但 Bolton 此事應該已經嚇出一身冷汗。 美國與盟邦關係極差 川普不喜歡多邊組織如 WTO、NATO、WHO，這大家都知道。但是，不喜歡多邊組織，並不表示凡事都要「單邊硬幹」。然而川普就是喜歡單邊硬幹，像是「蝙幅俠」，而不是「豪勇七狡龍」。過去三年，美國得罪了許多盟邦，部分原因是川普的單邊硬幹，部分是因為他的嘴巴。 川普批評歐盟：EU is worse than China, only smaller (98頁）。他這句台詞在不同地方講過多次，我也聽說過，我相信歐洲國家一定聽過，外交上傷害很大。132 頁，川普說 EU 輪值主席 Junker "as a vicious man who hated the U.S. desperately" (132頁)。這話應該也漏到歐盟耳中。EU 對美國這樣駡盟友，極為反感。 不只對盟邦，他對閣員也是極為粗暴。在全書中，不斷有閣員離職，川普從來不讓閣員自己宣布請辭，而永遠是他搶先在 Twitter 上宣布別人「被請辭」。有些閣員情緒激動，川普完全不在乎。 幕僚長 John Kelly 被川普羞辱，氣壞了 (216頁)。他會後對 Bolton 說：I've commanded men in combats, and I've never had to put up with this shit like that." Kelly 是陸戰隊上將，兒子作戰陣亡。會後，K 赴兒子墓地平復心情，然後辭職。什麼叫「視如土芥」？斯之謂也。 川普在週末急著趕走 Mattis (186 頁)。幕僚提醒：快到聖誕節了吔！川普說：下週一才聖誕節，執意在這個週末攆走人。這不是刻意給自己找敵人嗎？也因為如此，Bolton 精心設計離職，比川普 Twitter 早幾個小時宣布辭職，也是用 Tweet。內閣大臣賭氣若斯，恐怕史上少見。 對川普人格，極為不滿 Bolton 全書一再敍述川普的人格瑕疵。第 6 頁，Bolton 說川普 always bizarre。扣除書首標題之類，第 6 頁其實只是正文第 1 頁，就開火了。在 12 頁，Bolton 引述 Charles Krauthammer 曾經對川普的批評，說他的行為 behavior as that of an eleven-year-old boy。但是後來Krauthammer 又修正，說 "I was off by 10 years"。所以，只有 1 歳的水準？我們都知道，1 歲小孩最需要的協助，就是「擦屁股」。這大概是 Bolton 的意思吧。 在 38 頁，川普提到，對外，白宮經常要演 good cop/bad cop 的戲碼。Bolton 說，當然是總統扮 good cop 囉。川普回：the trouble is: we've got two bad cops。所以，川普完全攔不住自己的嘴巴，這樣就根本就沒辦法演戲了。川普說他是個說話的人，「我喜歡說話」。Bolton 描述 (86頁) 例行情報簡報，川普根本沒有用心聽，後來變成他自己講的時間更多。再後來，川普把 security briefing 改為 2 週一次 (209 頁)。但是每次還是他在講，而且內容與 security 無關。 這頗像李登輝會客。某年諾貝爾經濟獎得主 Gerald Debreu 來訪，拜會李總統，計 61 分鐘，D 氏只講了 2 分鐘，李講了 59 分鐘，對諾貝爾獎得主大談經濟發展論。D 氏後來說，If I knew this, I really had other better things to do. 總統，經常打臉閣員 美國商務部宣布對 ZTE 的制裁 (170)，川普很怒，然後就宣布暫緩，並且打電話給習近平示好，因為他想與習大大維持好關係。Bolton 認為，這是閣員依法辦事，總統怎麼可以對依法行政的官員開駡。這一點，台灣原先恐怕不知原委，以為是習近平打電話給川普。如果如 Bolton 所描述，是川普主動打電話去，這值得我們警惕。Bolton 批評川普：he has "difficulty in separating personal from official relations". 川普要關閉美墨邊界 (213頁)，幕僚指出此事株連廣大，有種種困難。川普大怒，說 It's like a movie theater when it is filled。邊界每天早上晚上都有通勤進出、物流貨流等問題，怎麼會與電影院太擠相提並論？國土安全部長事後就走人了。 川普也想對華為放水 (282)，國安人員都非常火。最後美國沒有放水，不是因為大家說服了川普，而是因為川普發現中國想拖延談判，期待 2020 變天。所以，川普對華為的強硬，是因為老共希望混過 2020。他修理華為，似乎是冲冠一怒為自己。這一點，台灣事前也不知道，也要警惕。 如果打臉閣員是基於判斷，也就罷了。經常，川普顯示出他的常識匱乏。川普說 (210頁)：it would be cool to invade Venezuela。閣員一大堆人都是身經百戰的將軍，都知道兵凶戰危，入侵委內瑞拉這叫做 cool？川普問 (121頁)，"Is Finland a part of Russia?" 這呼應前述 11 歲還是 1 歲？Bolton 說，川普每天中午才上班 (208頁)。咦？與台灣的誰很像？ 官場鬥爭，哪裡都一樣 Bolton 赴日本安排川普訪問的前置 (120頁)，川普問：你為什麼要先去？B 氏對這個問題頗感困擾，後來問 Kelly，為什麼老闆這樣問？K 說，他擔心 you upstage him。總統出國訪問，怎麼可能沒有前置作業？擔心幕僚影武，明白說就好啦？但是老闆問這個問題，Bolton 應該知道川普不好伺候了。我在 2003 年卸任中央研究院副院長之後，就立志「此生絕對不再做副手」。伺候難伺候的老闆，真的比什麼都難。川普年紀與 Bolton 差不多，川普外面聲望也不好，其難伺候尚且如此。如果川普比 Bolton 大上 20 歲，又是諾貝爾獎得主，那 Bolton 才會真的痛苦。 川普阻礙華為、ZTE 制裁，影響烏克蘭調查方向，對付 Biden 之子，要邀請神學士代表到大衛營，應該都是 Bolton 辭職的導火線 (381-427頁)。Bolton 的說詞很委婉，但是他對川普所為不以為然，已經呼之欲出。 但是真正把 Bolton 與 川普之間關係弄緊張的，還是有人咬耳朵。這，就是權力鬥爭。紐約時報等媒體經常刋出一些內幕，有人向川普說：「好像是 Bolton 漏的喔。」Bolton 出差依慣例坐空軍的專機，也有人去唸：「波頓不跟閣員一起行動，因為他有自己的飛機喔」。這一類的咬耳朵，據 Bolton 說是 Mulvaney 所為，但是誰知道呢？古今中外一樣，宮廷鬥爭永遠是精彩戲碼。Mulvaney 也厲害，現在外放愛爾蘭做特使，遠離權鬥核子武器範圍。 國安顧問該扮演什麼角色？ 整體而言，我對於美國的國家安全體制，是高度肯定的。有兩個案例：1）Bolton 草擬的 cyberspace 攻防作業要點，由川普簽署。對於網路攻擊美國的行動，不但偵測，而且回擊。我認為這非常值得台灣參考。我不很了解，網攻如果來自臨時的設備，回撃要怎麼做？2）Bolton 的角色扮演相當稱職，國際經驗與視野豐富，專業判斷頗為到位。整本書中，他沒有任何議題分析我持不同判斷。我認為台灣的國家安全會議，遜色多了。 Bolton 知道如何抓緊組織、如何善用常任文官幕僚。Bolton 也有精闢的戰略視野，不會陷在傳統官僚體系的框架裏。美/中對峙能夠打成今天的局面，Bolton 絕對居首功。他離開之後到 2020 年 11 月大選前，希望 1 歲或 11 歲的男孩，不要鬧事才好。